Graham Platner’s primary victory in Maine sends Democrats barreling into one of this year’s most important Senate contests with a rush of insurgent energy but gnawing uncertainty about the withering Republican scrutiny to come.
His decisive victory offered a vivid display of the deep Democratic desire for a new generation of leaders, suggesting that many primary voters in Maine embraced his populist economic message and working-class appeal.
Yet in nominating Platner, Democrats are making an enormous bet in their quest to regain control of the Senate, staking their chances in a crucial race on an untested and scandal-plagued oysterman.
Maine is a linchpin of both parties’ midterm strategies. With Republicans holding 53 seats in the Senate, Democrats will have to defend all the seats they hold and flip four more to win control in November. For months, party leaders have believed their most likely path ran through North Carolina, Ohio, Alaska, and especially Maine — the only state of the four that voted against President Donald Trump in 2024.
But Platner’s controversy-filled ascent to the Democratic nomination has complicated those plans, leaving some strategists worried that the party may need to win in deep-red Iowa or Texas to offset a loss in Maine.
Even with many Maine liberals excited about his candidacy, the road ahead for Platner remains difficult.
He is facing Sen. Susan Collins, a powerful moderate Republican legislator with a three-decade record of winning over the female voters, who make up a majority of the Maine electorate.
He must pivot from being a left-wing insurgent — Sen. Bernie Sanders (Ind., Vt.) has been one of his fiercest champions — to winning over general-election voters in Maine.
And he must dispel the concerns of the nearly 30% of primary voters who, according to incomplete results Tuesday night, cast ballots for other Democratic candidates.
Those efforts began with his victory speech Tuesday night.
“If you believe as I do that we can change our politics and change our country, then you must also believe that people can change,” he told supporters in rural Blue Hill, where he was born. “Every day, I wake up and I try to be a little better and a little bit kinder than I was the day before.”
Collins, who is widely seen as the most vulnerable Republican incumbent, faces her own considerable challenges. She must outrun the difficult national political environment for Republicans, with Trump’s approval ratings sagging amid an unpopular war with Iran that has driven up gas prices and inflation. And she must convince voters eager for generational change and new leadership that she remains fit for a sixth term at age 73.
Platner sought to remind voters of those liabilities in his victory speech, lacing into Collins with scathing attacks intended to tie her to the Trump administration.
“The truth is, Susan Collins doesn’t serve us,” he said. “She serves Donald Trump.”
For their part, Republicans have already signaled that they plan a flood of advertising focused on Platner’s character, with the party’s main super political action committee lashing him as “untrustworthy, unhinged and unfit for Maine.”
On Tuesday evening, the Republican Senate campaign arm released a digital ad contrasting the two candidates, accompanied by a news release featuring eight bullet points highlighting Platner’s controversial past conduct and statements.
“Susan Collins doesn’t have a Nazi tattoo,” a narrator states in the ad, a reference to a tattoo Platner had that was widely recognized as an SS symbol. (He later had it covered up.)
Collins’ moderate image poses an additional obstacle for Platner, Republican strategists say, because she presents as an acceptable alternative for voters who dislike Trump but are unsure about Platner.
“If Susan Collins were Ted Cruz, this would be a different conversation, but Susan Collins is the most moderate member of the Senate,” said Brad Todd, a veteran Republican strategist. “Susan Collins is the best cross-party-appeal candidate Republicans have fielded anywhere in the last 10 years.”
But progressive leaders quickly heralded Platner’s victory as more evidence that voters across the ideological spectrum wanted the opposite of Collins: a populist fighter who will challenge the political establishment.
“This shows that the candidate’s stance on the genocide in Gaza, on opposing foreign wars, and on taking on the billionaire and donor class matters far more than imperfections in their own personal life,” said Rep. Ro Khanna (D., Calif.), who has emerged as one of Platner’s most vocal supporters. “The country and Democratic Party are looking for candidates who are willing to challenge the broken status quo.”
But while many Democrats like the idea of a combative working-class candidate, they’re worried that Platner’s baggage will be fodder for Republican ad makers for weeks and months to come.
Platner has been dogged by controversies including the tattoo, his yearslong trail of inflammatory online posts and revelations of explicit text messages he sent to women while he was married.
In recent days, some Democratic elected officials have voiced their worries about the latest allegations against Platner, which included reporting from the New York Times that several women he dated said that he had engaged in unsettling and, in at least one case, physically threatening behavior.
From the campaign trail to private meetings with senators, Platner has repeatedly promised that there is no more damaging information to come out about him.
Some moderate Democrats are voicing their skepticism.
As voters cast their ballots Tuesday, Rep. Josh Gottheimer, a moderate Democrat from New Jersey, called on Platner to exit the race so Democrats could replace him with a stronger candidate before the fall.
“Ultimately, it may be just clear that he can’t win,” Gottheimer said. “And if you believe we have to win, which most Democrats do, then I think the writing’s on the wall already.” He added, “What’s already come out, there’s plenty to disqualify him.”
In a gauzy video released by his campaign Tuesday, Platner sat with his wife in waders, shucked oysters and encouraged his supporters to cast ballots in the primary.
He added an assessment of the past few weeks that could also sum up the months to come.
“This whole thing as you can probably tell: brutal,” he said.
This article originally appeared in The New York Times.
