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Can LeBron and the Sixers win it all?

We ran the numbers, and here’s how Philly’s revamped roster stacks up.

By
• Jasen Lo

,

• Sam Morris

,

• Charmaine Runes

, and

• Garland Fordice

Published July 28, 2026

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The LeBron-O-Meter has spoken: LeBron James is a Sixer, and he’s here to bring a championship to Philadelphia. “I believe I can help make the Philadelphia 76ers a championship team and I am so excited to energize a new fan base and start this incredible journey one last time,” he said on X when confirming the move to South Broad. But can this Sixers squad get the job done?

On paper, Philadelphia boasts one of the most formidable starting fives in the NBA. Adding James – to a core that already features former MVP Joel Embiid, 2024 Finals MVP Jaylen Brown, All-NBA guard Tyrese Maxey, and All-Rookie First Team selection V. J. Edgecombe – creates a lineup overloaded with talent.

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Could this be the best starting lineup of James’ career? And how does this group compare with some of the greatest championship teams in NBA history?

We ran the numbers.

Team PIE

Team PIE

• Player Impact Estimate (PIE) is the NBA’s proprietary metric for measuring a player’s overall impact on an individual game. By incorporating box score statistics such as points, rebounds, missed shots and turnovers, PIE represents a player’s overall contribution to a game.

  Let’s take Paul George’s 2026 regular season average PIE of 0.117. Not bad, but one that pales in comparison to Maxey’s 0.150 or Embiid’s 0.163.

  We can then combine the averages of a starting lineup to get a proxy for quality. Last season, the Sixers’ best starting five recorded a total PIE of 0.605.

• After the Sixers traded Paul George for Jaylen Brown and signed Cleveland Cavaliers forward Dean Wade, their projected starting lineup carried a combined PIE of 0.631, based on Brown’s 2026 Celtics numbers and Dean Wade’s 2026 Cavaliers numbers. That’s a 0.025 increase.

• James’ arrival would push Dean Wade out of the Sixers’ projected starting lineup. Based on James’ 2026 Lakers numbers, Philadelphia’s starting five is projected to post a combined PIE of 0.711, an increase of 0.106 from last season.

  But how do they compare to James’s previous championship squads?

• James infamously joined the Miami Heat in 2010, leaving his hometown Cleveland Cavaliers to team up with fellow All-Stars Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. The “Heatles” trio didn’t win a championship until the 2011-12 season.

  This championship starting five posted a combined PIE of 0.660.

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• In one of the defining moments of his career, James, alongside Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love, defeated the record-setting 73-win Golden State Warriors in the 2016 NBA Finals.

  The championship team that delivered James’ third title, and Cleveland’s first major professional sports championship in more than 50 years, posted a combined starting-five PIE of 0.630 – still below the Sixers’ hypothetical projected total.

• James captured his fourth NBA championship during the league’s pandemic-shortened 2019-20 season with the Los Angeles Lakers. The playoffs, held inside the NBA’s bio-secure “bubble” at Walt Disney World in Florida, featured James alongside All-NBA big man Anthony Davis and a veteran supporting cast.

  That championship team’s starting five posted a combined PIE of 0.610 — the lowest of James’ four title-winning lineups and well below the Sixers’ projected mark.

• Looking back at the last 18 NBA championship teams—including four led by James — the starting five with the highest combined PIE belongs to the 2017 Golden State Warriors. That lineup, featuring four All-Stars in Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson, posted a combined PIE of 0.663.

  Even that stacked starting five falls short of the future Sixers’ .

• And what about the reigning NBA champion Knicks, who swept the Sixers in last year’s playoffs? Their starting five posted a combined PIE of just 0.605 last season.

So, should the City start planning the parade route already? Things are never that simple.

This analysis doesn’t account for how the new-look Sixers will gel, the strength of a team’s bench, the quality of their playoff opponents, the fact that the team with the best collective PIE doesn’t always win the championship, and more importantly for the Sixers, the impact of injuries. However, when looking at the PIE compared to recent championship winners, there’s no reason the Sixers shouldn’t be aiming high.

The 2026-27 Sixers have the best starting five compared to previous NBA champions.

Heat

2012

Heat

2013

Spurs

2014

Warriors

2015

Cavaliers

2016

Warriors

2017

Warriors

2018

Raptors

2019

Lakers

2020

Bucks

2021

Warriors

2022

Nuggets

2023

Celtics

2024

Thunder

2025

Knicks

2026

76ers

2026

76ers

2027*

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

Team PIE (Player Impact Estimate)

*projected total, based on individual player’s in 2026

Let’s hope that the Sixers’ projected greatness will come through on the court too, and that they can manifest their destiny as one of the greatest championship starting fives in NBA history.

Staff Contributors

• Design and Development: Garland Fordice, Charmaine Runes, and Sam Morris
• Data and Reporting: Jasen Lo
• Editing: Sam Morris and Charmaine Runes
• Copy Editing: Tony Moss

Methodology

The formula for Player Impact Estimate (PIE), is available here. Each player’s regular season PIE average was used, and the data was collected from NBA.com using the nba_api Python package.

For each team’s combined PIE figure, we used the team’s most used regular season starting lineup, and combined the regular season average PIE of each player.

One-number box score metrics, such as plus-minus, were not selected for this analysis because starters often share minutes with role players. As a result, role players in starting lineups may have inflated plus-minus statistics due to playing alongside more impactful teammates.

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Topics mentioned in this story

Jaylen BrownJoel EmbiidKelly Oubre Jr.Kyle LowryLeBron JamesPaul GeorgeTyrese MaxeyVJ Edgecombe

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